M106 The importance of water, climate change, and water policy for potential biorefineries in Washington State
Monday, April 27, 2015
Aventine Ballroom ABC/Grand Foyer, Ballroom Level
Ashley Mihle1, Renata Bura2, Rick Gustafson2, Clare Ryan1, Susan Bolton2, Erik L. Budsberg2, Jordan T. Crawford2 and Luke Rogers2, (1)School of Environmental and Forest Sciences/Evans School of Public Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, (2)School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
Biofuels outperform fossil fuels on many environmental indicators, except for water use. With climate change, shifting water resource availability may affect the feasibility of growing feedstock in certain locations.

In this research, water use was analyzed for bioethanol production from cradle to gate, using hybrid poplar feedstock and an acetogen pathway conversion process. Volumetric water use and availability was quantified, using the water footprint methodology by Hoekstra et al. (2011). Two hypothetical biorefineries near Mount Vernon, WA and Spokane, WA using rainfed and irrigated feedstock, respectively, were analyzed for three crop yield scenarios. Two climate change scenarios will be presented to demonstrate the effect of higher temperatures and variable precipitation. A policy analysis of water regulations was also conducted.

Results show that water use for bioenergy from hybrid poplar is 70-250 times higher than estimates for crude oil, though lower than many estimates for other bioenergy crops and conversion processes. Results vary by climate and crop production, with the rainfed crop using significantly less water than the irrigated crop. Climate models predict increased irrigation demand and decreased site suitability. In Washington State, limited opportunities to obtain senior water rights exist, so policy constraints add another layer of complexity to biofuel expansion. To fully assess the viability of a biofuels industry, water use must be evaluated alongside life cycle analyses, economic assessments, technical process improvements, and policies. By doing so, the full range of sustainability trade-offs can be evaluated for this industry.